中国地震滑坡危险性评估及其对国土空间规划的影响研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王涛  刘甲美  栗泽桐  辛鹏  石菊松  吴树仁 《中国地质》2021,48(1):21-39

中国是世界上地震滑坡灾害最为严重的国家之一。考虑地质构造、地形地貌、地层岩性、河流、地震动参数等6类影响因素,针对50年超越概率10%的抗震设防水准,分别开展了基于信息量模型和Newmark模型的地震滑坡危险性评估。基于最不利原则对两项结果进行地震滑坡危险性综合分区,揭示了中国地震滑坡高危险区集中在南北构造带、青藏高原周缘、鄂尔多斯周缘、天山山脉、台湾山脉等5个活动地块边界或地貌过渡带的空间分布特征。通过地震滑坡危险对主要山区城市的影响分析,显示:34个省级行政单元中的云南、四川、甘肃、台湾4省区受影响严重;370个主要城市中的48个城市受影响严重,其中44个城市有活动断裂穿越;9类主体功能规划区中,国家和省级优化开发区域总体较适于城市开发建设;25个经济区与城市群中,总体较适于开发建设,但是滇中、关天、成渝、兰西等4个经济区与城市群受影响严重;14个集中连片特困地区中,滇西边境、乌蒙、秦巴、六盘等4个地区受影响严重,深度贫困区的“三州”受影响严重。这些区域需要在地质灾害防治和国土空间规划中予以特别关注。  相似文献   

成层软土地基预固结处理后桩基水平承载力估算方法     

黄朝煊  袁文喜  胡国杰 《岩土力学》2021,(1):113-124,134

目前通过对软土地基预加固处理来提高桩基水平承载力已被工程界认可,但如何在工程前期设计过程中估算软土地基预处理后桩基水平承载力提高值仍是技术难点。基于此,参考Bowles[1]的地基土水平抗力计算式,同时考虑成层软土地基预排水固结处理影响,通过数学推导,推求出根据原状软土室内土工试验抗剪强度指标及预加固处理时间,估算软土地基预处理后桩基水平承载力提高值的实用计算方法。考虑桩侧土弹塑性屈服影响,推导出成层软土中水平受荷桩弹塑性解析解及塑性区深度的计算式,给出了桩顶水平位移、桩身最大弯矩的无量纲计算式及相关计算源代码。依托于浙江省某水闸桩基工程案例,根据提出的计算方法对桩基水平承载力、桩顶水平位移及桩身最大弯矩等性状进行预估计算,并与地基预处理前、后现场试桩检测值进行验证对比,认为桩基水平承载力、桩顶水平位移及桩身最大弯矩等预估计算成果与工程现场试桩的检测值较接近,对类似工程设计具有较好的参考价值。  相似文献   

基于优化经验模态分解和聚类分析的滑坡位移智能预测研究     

张凯  张科  保瑞  刘享华  齐飞飞 《岩土力学》2021,(1):211-223

针对三峡库区"阶跃式"滑坡的变形特征,提出了一种新的滑坡位移预测方法。以白水河滑坡ZG118和XD-01监测点位移数据为例,采用基于软筛分停止准则的经验模态分解(SSSC-EMD)将累计位移-时间曲线和影响因子时间序列自适应地分解为多个固有模态函数(IMF),并采用K均值(K-Means)聚类法对其进行聚类累加,得到有物理含义的位移分量(趋势性位移、周期性位移以及随机性位移)和影响因子分量(高频影响因子和低频影响因子)。使用最小二乘法对趋势性位移进行拟合预测;采用果蝇优化-最小二乘支持向量机(FOA-LSSVM)模型对周期性位移和随机性位移进行预测。将各位移分量预测值进行叠加处理,实现滑坡累计位移的预测。研究结果表明,所提出的(SSSC-EMD)-K-Means-(FOA-LSSVM)模型能够预测"阶跃式"滑坡的位移变化规律,且预测精度高于传统的支持向量机回归(SVR)、最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)模型;并通过改变训练集长度,进行单因素分析,发现其与预测精度之间呈正相关关系。  相似文献   

TS50全站仪配合多测回测角软件在地铁基坑监测中的应用     

王东晓  韩林  路林海 《测绘与空间地理信息》2021,44(1):32-33,37

TS50全站仪配合徕卡多测回测角软件能够自动瞄准、自动观测,具有高智能、高精度的特点,从而在地铁基坑监测领域得到广泛的应用。文章结合济南市轨道交通R1线前大彦站基坑监测项目实践,对测量方法、数据处理、监测效果等方面进行论述。实际应用表明:基于TS50全站仪的多测回测角软件能提供及时可靠的监测数据,科学指导基坑施工,保证了基坑安全,取得良好的效果。  相似文献   

平面四参数法坐标转换在圆形基坑变形监测中的应用     

刘永辉  黄立 《测绘与空间地理信息》2021,44(1):217-221

由于基坑工程的监测工作往往会受到开挖深度、设计形状等各方面因素的影响和制约,导致监测方法和手段也不能一成不变。基于虚拟断面法仅适用于比较规则的多边形基坑,本文结合珠海市横琴新区基坑工程实例,提出使用平面四参数坐标转换法在圆形基坑中对基坑立柱水平位移计算的应用。结果表明:使用平面四参数坐标转换法计算基坑水平位移时,既不受基坑形状的影响,也能更直观地反映出基坑水平位移的变形量。  相似文献   

Displacement analytical prediction of shallow tunnel based on unified displacement function under slope boundary     

Fanchao Kong  Dechun Lu  Xiuli Du  Chenpeng Shen 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2019,43(1):183-211

For slope condition of ground surface, the asymmetrical deformation about the vertical center line and the horizontal center line of the tunnel cross section can be formed. A unified displacement function expressed by the Fourier series is presented to express the asymmetrical deformation of the tunnel cross section. Five basic deformation modes corresponding to the expansion order 2 are a complete deformation mode to reflect deformation behaviors of the tunnel cross section under slope boundary. Such this complete displacement mode is implemented into the complex variable solution for analytically predicting tunneling-induced ground deformation under slope boundary. All of these analytical solutions are verified by good agreements of the comparison between the analytical solutions and finite element method results. A parameter study is carried out to investigate the influence of deformation modes of the tunnel cross section, geometrical conditions of the tunnel and the slope angle, and “Buoyancy effect” on the displacement field. Finally, the proposed method is consistent with measured data of the Hejie tunnel in China qualitatively. The presented solution can provide a simplified indication for evaluating the ground deformation under slope condition of ground surface.  相似文献   

黄土洞室掘进深度与围岩位移变化规律研究     

时卫民  王鹏  赵尚毅 《岩土工程技术》2020,(2):70-75

应用PLAXIS 2D/3D有限元分析软件,对某黄土洞室进行了二维、三维分步掘进、三维一次掘进等工况的弹塑性有限元分析,研究分析了不同工况下洞室围岩位移的变化规律,并对掌子面的空间效应进行了分析。分析结果表明,二维与三维分步计算的最终位移基本一致,可以用二维的计算结果来估算洞室开挖的最终位移。三维分步掘进的分析表明,不同埋深的洞室其位移比的变化规律基本一致,当L/B<1时(L为掘进深度,B为洞室跨度),位移比呈线性增加;当L/B>1时,位移比呈非线性增加;当L/B>3时,其最大位移接近最终位移。掌子面的空间效应分析表明,在掌子面处的位移约为最终位移的1/3,距掌子面0.5倍跨度处的位移约为最终位移的2/3,距掌子面2.5倍跨度处的位移基本达到了最终位移。  相似文献   

Large‐scale poroelastic fractured reservoirs modeling using the fast multipole displacement discontinuity method          下载免费PDF全文

A. Verde  A. Ghassemi 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2016,40(6):865-886

An effective approach to modeling the geomechanical behavior of the network and its permeability variation is to use a poroelastic displacement discontinuity method (DDM). However, the approach becomes rather computationally intensive for an extensive system of cracks, particularly when considering coupled diffusion/deformation processes. This is because of additional unknowns and the need for time‐marching schemes for the numerical integration. The Fast Multipole Method (FMM) is a technique that can accelerate the solution of large fracture problems with linear complexity with the number of unknowns both in memory and CPU time. Previous works combining DDM and FMM for large‐scale problems have accounted only for elastic rocks, neglecting the fluid leak‐off from the fractures into the matrix and its influence on pore pressure and stress field. In this work we develop an efficient geomechanical model for large‐scale natural fracture networks in poroelastic reservoirs with fracture flow in response to injection and production operations. Accuracy and computational performance of the proposed method with those of conventional poroelastic DDM are compared through several case studies involving up to several tens of thousands of boundary elements. The results show the effectiveness of the FMM approach to successfully evaluate field‐scale problems for the design of exploitation strategies in unconventional geothermal and petroleum reservoirs. An example considering faults reveals the impact of reservoir compartmentalization because of sealing faults for both geomechanical and flow variables under elastic and poroelastic rocks. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Analysis of rectangular piles subjected to lateral loads in nonhomogeneous soil using a Winkler model approach          下载免费PDF全文

Hiroyoshi Hirai 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2015,39(9):937-968

An analytical approach using a Winkler model based on two lateral soil displacement components in a three‐dimensional soil is investigated to provide analytical solutions of horizontal response of a rectangular pile subjected to lateral loads in nonhomogeneous soil. The two lateral displacement components of a soil surrounding the rectangular pile are represented by the Fourier series of displacement potential functions in the elastic three‐dimensional analysis. The lateral stiffness coefficient of the rectangular pile shaft in nonhomogeneous soil is derived from the rocking stiffness coefficient taking into account rocking rotation of a rigid pile shaft. The relationship between horizontal displacement, rotation, moment, and shear force for the rectangular pile subjected to horizontal loads in nonhomogeneous soil is obtainable in the form of the recurrence equation. The formulation of lateral displacement and rotation for a rectangular pile subjected to lateral loads on the pile base in nonhomogeneous soil is proposed by taking into account Mindlin's equation and the equivalent thickness for soil layers in the equivalent elastic method. The difference of lateral behavior between square and circular piles subjected to lateral loads is insignificant. The effect of aspect ratio of the rectangular pile on the lateral behavior is great for the lower stiffness ratio between pile and soil and the larger length–equivalent diameter ratio. The effect of the value of Poisson's ratio of soil on lateral stiffness coefficient is relatively small except Poisson's ratio close to 0.5. The comparison of the results calculated by the current method for a rectangular pile subjected to lateral loads in nonhomogeneous soil has shown good agreement with those obtained from the analytical methods and the finite element method. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

2010年玉树地震(Ms7.1)地表破裂特征、破裂机制与破裂过程     

潘家伟  李海兵  吴富峣  李宁  郭瑞强  张伟 《岩石学报》2011,27(11):3449-3459

2010年4月14日,青海省玉树地区发生Ms7.1级地震,造成大量人员伤亡和财产损失.地震发生后,我们对地震地表破裂带进行了详细的考察,并对同震位移量进行了精确的测量.根据野外考察和测量的结果,对玉树地震的地表破裂特征、同震位移量及其分布特征进行了分析,并对地震的破裂机制和破裂过程进行了探讨,取得如下认识:(1)玉树地震形成了沿鲜水河断裂带西北段(甘孜-玉树断裂)分布的东、西两条地表破裂带,西段破裂带分布在微观震中附近的隆宝湖拉分盆地中,长约19km;东段破裂带沿扎曲河南岸及巴塘河西岸山坡展布,长度约31km;上述两条破裂带之间存在约15km的地表破裂空区;(2)野外测量获得玉树地震的最大同震位移量为2.3m,位于东段地表破裂带中部郭央烟宋多附近;(3)地表破裂和野外构造地貌特征均反映了发震断层处于走滑伸展环境,断层左旋走滑过程中伴随正断作用;(4)地震波反演结果和地表破裂分布特征表明,玉树地震的破裂过程包括两次子事件,分别在地表形成了隆宝湖破裂带和扎曲河、巴塘河破裂带,隆宝湖及玉树县城西侧的山间谷地是在甘孜-玉树断裂长期活动的破裂带阶区转换拉张过程中形成的两个拉分盆地.  相似文献